Deviate FAQ: what it does, what it costs and what it does not do
Short answers about the Deviate prediction market alert app: trading, cost, sports covered, alert controls and limits.
Deviate is an iPhone app for people who follow sports prediction markets. It compares Kalshi prices with game-state models and sends alerts when the gap meets your threshold. Pro costs $9.99/month after two weeks free. Deviate does not place trades or hold funds.
Two weeks free, then $9.99/month. Cancel anytime in Apple ID settings.
For first-time subscribers. Subscription renews automatically.


App previews ยท Illustrative data
01 / The idea
You do not need to follow every price move. Let the comparison come to you.
Score, clock, possession, inning. The model starts with the game state and comparable historical outcomes.
Deviate compares the resulting probability with the live market price. That difference is the edge.
When the gap passes your threshold, a notification brings you both numbers and a plain-English reason.
02 / Inside Deviate
A view of the market, the thinking behind each alert, and the controls to make it yours.

A view of the whole board
The Live tab brings tracked markets and game situations into one place. See what Deviate is watching, across the sports you follow.

Open the explanation
An alert gives you a comparison you can actually read: the model probability, the market number, the size of the gap, and the game situation behind it.

Make the signal yours
Pick what interests you. Set the gap that should get your attention, cap daily alerts, and choose when your phone stays quiet.
Actual app captures with illustrative data. Screens shown are examples, not live markets or performance claims.
03 / Your side of the board
Choose your interests. Deviate keeps track of the markets, so you can keep up with the game.
See coverage by sportCoverage varies by sport. Golf, motorsports, and cricket currently appear in Live without model alerts.
04 / An accountable record
A useful comparison deserves a record. Every alert is timestamped when sent, with resolved wins and losses kept in History.
Explore a free preview in the app. The full history log is available with a subscription.
How the record worksThe matchup, game state, and original timestamp.
The model number, market number, and gap at send time.
Wins and losses, kept alongside the original alert.
05 / From the Deviate blog
Short answers about the Deviate prediction market alert app: trading, cost, sports covered, alert controls and limits.
Every part of an alert card explained, from the point edge to the outcome, with a real losing alert as the example.
Deviate is an iPhone app that compares a historical win probability with the live prediction market price and alerts you when the gap passes your threshold.
Deviate Pro
$9.99 / month
Start with two weeks free.
Download on the App StoreTwo weeks free for first-time subscribers, then $9.99/month. Cancel anytime in Apple ID settings.
Subscription renews automatically. Trial availability and local pricing are shown in the App Store.
No. Deviate shows information and sends alerts. You decide whether to act on a separate exchange.
The model probability, market number, size of the gap, and a plain-English reason, with the matchup and game situation.
You can explore Live and a preview of History for free. First-time subscribers can try Deviate Pro for two weeks free, then $9.99/month.
No. A gap is a model comparison, not a guarantee. Models can be wrong, prices can change, and trading involves risk of loss.